If you missed where we examined the potential Best Picture nominations for Crazy Heart, District 9, An Education, The Hangover and Invictus, then please do check out Part 1. We will look at five more titles here under the assumption that Avatar, The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds, Precious and Up In The Air are all locks. Could one or all of these fill out the remaining five slots?
Of all the films on this list, Rob Marshall's musical probably has the most going for it and the most going against it. Starting with a first batch of Best Picture nominations that include the Broadcast Film Critics Association, the Golden Globes and the Screen Actors Guild Ensemble prize, Nine is in some pretty solid company. 28 of the last 34 films to receive those three nods have moved on to an Oscar nomination. The six watching from the sideline were Being John Malkovich (1999), Almost Famous (2000), Billy Elliot (2000), Adaptation (2002), Dreamgirls (2006) and American Gangster (2007). Of those 34 however, only two of them (American Gangster & The Reader) received not a single nod from the Producers', Directors' or Writers' Guild. They share that in common with Nine. Yes, Dion Beebe picked up a nom from the American Society of Cinematographers, but only 23 of their last 50 nominees were Best Picture contenders. Throw on top of that the middling box office receipts ($17.2 million through Jan. 12) and the negative reception it has received from critics (A.O. Scott called it an "abomination") and you could very well be looking at the worst reviewed film to be nominated for Best Picture in some time. Using the numbers from Rotten Tomatoes, you have both The Reader and Chocolat at 62% positive. Nine is currently sitting at 37%

Best Picture chances: 49%
categories Oscars, Awards, Cinematical