As 2010 comes to a close, we are also past the first phase of awards season. The critics' groups have (mostly) finalized their choices and we are now heading into "guild territory." Victors from the Golden Globes and Broadcast Film Critics Association are not going to tell us anything we don't already know about who might earn an Oscar nomination -- unless, of course, they award one of the underdogs like Michael Douglas or the couple from 'Blue Valentine.' Nope, it's the guilds that will begin thinning the herd next week, producers first. 8 of their 10 nominees last year were up for Oscar, minus 'Invictus' and 'Star Trek' (replaced by 'A Serious Man' and 'The Blind Side'). The consensus on the eight this year appear to be 'Black Swan,' 'The Fighter,' 'Inception,' 'The King's Speech,' 'The Social Network,' 'Toy Story 3,' 'True Grit,' and 'Winter's Bone.' The following five will likely battle it out for the final two slots: '127 Hours,' 'Blue Valentine,' 'How To Train Your Dragon,' 'The Kids Are All Right,' 'Rabbit Hole,' and 'The Town'.
You can find those rankings and the rest of Big Eight categories here, but what about the pesky technical categories and all the rest? Critics groups vary when including them in their annual awards. So before we get into the real nitty-gritty of the guild numbers, let us see where these categories rank and which are likely to bump up the nomination totals we see splashed across newspapers and commercials.