Brokeback Mountain

Which indie films have the best shot at nabbing Oscar gold? Variety spotlights a dozen films that could be contenders. The Variety contender list includes: Brokeback Mountain; Capote; The Constant Gardener; Crash; Good Night and Good Luck; The Libertine; Match Point; Mrs. Henderson Presents; Pride and Prejudice; Proof; The Squid and the Whale; and The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada.

Question is, in which cats do these films have the best shot at getting a nod?