Hey, it's Patricia, coming to you live with our Box Office Prediction, which we'll be bringing to you weekly -- barring unforeseen breaking news, like, say, Mel Gibson getting arrested for busting out of rehab while wearing a gorilla suit and brandishing a butter knife. Incidentally, if you have any title suggestions snazzier than "Weekend Box Office Prediction," feel free to leave them in the comments section. The winner will get ... uh ... a lovely shout-out in next week's post.

Sean Penn in All the King's MenThis weekend brings us one of the first Serious Fall Movies of the season: 'All the King's Men,' starring Sean Penn as a man-of-the-people politician who's corrupted by the intoxicating whiff of power. With a cast that includes Jude Law, Kate Winslet, James Gandolfini and Anthony Hopkins, you'd think this would be a slam dunk, right? But after 'King's Men' premiered at the Toronto Film Festival, the buzz-o-meter turned against the movie with almost bewildering speed, and the majority of reviews have been less than kind (USA Today: "a thuddingly tedious soap opera"). If this movie were a baseball franchise, it'd be a cross between the Yankees (loads of superstar talent) and the Red Sox (high expectations, disappointing down the stretch). And yes, I realize I just made Yankees and Red Sox fans' heads explode by even mentioning their teams in the same sentence. Just doing my job.

Johnny Knoxville in Jackass Number Two

On the opposite end of the moviegoing spectrum, we've got 'Jackass Number Two,' which features Johnny Knoxville, Steve-O and the rest of the boys doing gobs more stuff you'd like to think your parents have never heard of ... unless, of course, you're Bam Margera, in which case your parents have seen and heard it all. 'Number Two' (hee, I said "number two") is even wilder and grosser than its predecessor, which bodes pretty well considering 'Jackass: The Movie' earned a respectable $65 million in 2002. That's more than 'Blue Crush' but less than 'Snow Dogs,' a fact that's kind of blowing my mind right now, since it means the 'Jackass' guys are more appealing than Kate Bosworth but less appealing than Cuba Gooding Jr. in a parka. We live in a strange world.

[Fun bonus tidbit: After we filmed an extremely R-rated Unscripted interview with the 'Jackass' gang, our lawyers freaked, even though we'd already bleeped out half of it and obscured all sorts of obscene gestures with black boxes. We had to make more cuts to be able to promote it anywhere at all; and while you'll have to wait for the DVD to watch the too-hot-for-AOL version, what we ended up with is still insanely funny. Be sure to check it out.]

Rounding out the weekend's wide releases are what I'll call The Three Fs: 'Flyboys,''Fearless' and 'Feast.' Hmm, let's see: a by-the-numbers James Franco military flick, Jet Li's last martial arts film (this is a little like Tiger Woods hanging up the golf clubs, though I'll admit I'm skeptical -- just wait until he keeps losing out to Robin Williams for those kindly professor roles, and he'll come running back, you'll see) and the horror-film winner of HBO's Project Greenlight series. Do any of them have the legs to knock off the juggernaut that is 'Jackass'? Probably not -- but you know you're looking at a seriously weak movie weekend, or weakend, if you will, when a little-publicized frightfest starring Eric Dane (that's McSteamy to you 'Grey's Anatomy' fans) has the chance to make it into the top five.

Enough! Without further ado, I present to you my predicted top five for the weekend. Check back on Monday to see how badly I missed the mark.

  1. Jackass Number Two
  2. Jet Li's Fearless
  3. Feast
  4. All the King's Men
  5. Gridiron Gang

Get showtimes, tickets & more info: All the King's Men | Feast | Flyboys | Gridiron Gang | Jackass Number Two | Jet Li's Fearless

Check out our 'Jackass' Unscripted interview

Watch a clip from 'Jet Li's Fearless'

Watch a clip from 'Flyboys'

See pictures from the 'All the King's Men' premiere

Tags:All the King's Men, Jackass Number Two, Flyboys, Feast, Jet Li's Fearless, box office