by Erik Childress

When the Academy Awards announced it was boosting its Best Picture nominees from five to ten, the status quo of the Broadcast Film Critics Association must have been shaken to their foundation. How could they be considered "the most accurate predictor of the Oscars" when their work was now cut out for them? You see, for years the BFCA Awards (or Critic's Choice as they like to be called) have nominated ten films for their top prize. Ten films. Only five have to be correct to keep that percentage up. In 2001, they failed to nominate Gosford Park. In 2000, it was Chocolat and in 1996 Secrets & Lies. Those are the only three films that didn't match up between their lists and Oscar. Technically that leaves their "guessing" percentage at 47% (62-of-130), but their fuzzy math sees it another way. To them they are laying the groundwork to proudly announce that the five Best Picture nominees can almost always be found amidst their ten choices, thus bringing more attention to a group of critics made up primarily of the junket whores who blurb on anything and everything they can get flown to.

Ah, but now the tables are turned. They are on the same playing field every other critic's group with nominees have faced over the years. It's time to nut up or shut up and be dead-on balls accurate otherwise their precious percentage will go down. How can they pull this off? Quite simply by nominating ten films right off the current odds-on depth chart for films with a shot at Oscar.

Avatar, An Education, The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds, Invictus, Nine, Precious, A Serious Man, Up
and Up In The Air.