by Erik Childress

Once considered the biggest precursor to predicting the behavior of Academy voters, the Golden Globes (see this year's nominations here) have had to face changing times. With the Oscars moved up in the schedule, ballots are sent in before the 80-some members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association can announce their final selections. The Broadcast Film Critics Association have been trying to nudge them out with their own television party and giving their members as much face time as the celebrities they invite. The HFPA deserves the edge this year in the hosting department when Ricky Gervais takes the stage, but how do they really measure up in terms of the Oscars over the last decade?

Long before the BFCA were utilizing ten nominees to boost their Best Picture prediction status, the Globes traditionally divided their top prize alongside Actor and Actress into separate Drama and Comedy/Musical categories. Why the song-and-dance features have to be lumped into Comedy is anyone's guess. All That Jazz and Dancer In The Dark are hardly frothy toe-tappers. But if you make one you are practically guaranteed for a nomination. Too bad they weren't progressive enough to nominate South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut in 1999. There is a musical on the books this year though. Rob Marshall's Nine received five Globe nominations, second only to Jason Reitman's Up In The Airwith six. They aren't competing against one another in the top category since each have been put into their respective genre corners. Couldn't one argue that Up In The Air is a comedy and Nine a drama? Nevertheless the roles are flipped and are joined by Avatar, The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds and Precious for Drama and (500) Days of Summer, The Hangover, It's Complicated and Julie & Julia in Comedy.