In one corner you have Harvey Weinstein saying that "we're going to win Best Picture" in reference to Inglourious Basterds. In another you have Peter Guber on Fox making the argument that money could push Avatarover the top while being surprised that Robert Downey Jr. wasn't nominated for Sherlock Holmes. Fox's Oscar expert, ladies and gentlemen. Harvey and Peter might be in for a rude awakening on Oscar night though. At the time of their statements they didn't have the benefit of a magic award that might just hold the very key to predicting Best Picture on March 7. It's a vital category, one you can't create film without. The Guild that represents them handed out their awards Sunday evening. And they may have just handed The Hurt Locker the Oscar for Best Picture.

The American Cinema Editors gave their award for Best Editing in the Dramatic category to Kathryn Bigelow's film. They split their primary award Globe-style into Comedy and Drama in 1999. The Hangover won on the Comedy side this year (presumably for successfully editing out any modicum of comic timing) while Up and The Cove won their Animated and Documentary categories. Since 1990 there have only been two times (Apollo 13, Traffic) when one of their victors has not gone on to win the Oscar for Best Film Editing. Oh, film editing poppycock you say - how does this figure into Best Picture?