The Fall 2016 Mirrorball trophy needs a forever home, but only one couple will claim it in "Dancing With the Stars" Season 23. The wobbly baby giraffes hit the ballroom for the first time tonight (Monday, September 12) but the oddsmakers have already decided who has the best chance of winning, and who has the best chance of leaving first.

Here are the odds from

Odds to win DWTS Season 23:

Laurie Hernandez and Val Chmerkovskiy: 9/2
Calvin Johnson and Lindsay Arnold: 6/1
Vanilla Ice and Witney Carson: 9/1
Amber Rose and Maksim Chmerkovskiy: 9/1
James Hinchcliffe and Sharna Burgess: 12/1
Kenny "Babyface" Edmonds and Allison Holker: 14/1
Jana Kramer and Gleb Savchenko: 14/1
Marilu Henner and Derek Hough: 16/1
Jake T. Austin and Jenna Johnson: 16/1
Ryan Lochte and Cheryl Burke: 18/1
Maureen McCormick and Artem Chigvintsev: 25/1
Terra Jolé and Sasha Farber: 25/1
Gov. Rick Perry and Emma Slater: 50/1

Odds to be the first contestant eliminated:

Gov. Rick Perry: 6/1
Marilu Henner: 19/2
Maureen McCormick: 9/1
Ryan Lochte: 10/1
Terra Jolé: 10/1
Jake T. Austin: 10/1
Kenny "Babyface" Edmonds: 12/1
Jana Kramer: 12/1
James Hinchcliffe: 15/1
Amber Rose: 15/1
Vanilla Ice: 25/1
Calvin Johnson: 25/1
Laurie Hernandez: 30/1

Former @governorperry here, reporting for #DWTS duty! Learning frame and structure is Step 1. 🤗😉 @emmaslaterdance

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TVLine basically went in the same direction -- Laurie & Val with the best chance of winning, and Rick & Emma with the best chance of going home first. Are they right? They're probably close, but whenever something is so obvious, fans usually go in a different direction.

It's true that DWTS does not have a great track record with politicians. (Remember Tom DeLay? Do your best to forget.) However, we haven't seen Rick Perry dance, and he is dedicating his time on DWTS to veterans, which may help him. Plus, there are some lesser-known stars on this season, including "Little Women: LA" star Terra Jolé and IndyCar driver James Hinchcliffe, who will have to work hard to make an impression.

But you also can't remove the pro factor, since the pros are the real stars. Ryan Lochte doesn't deserve to be here at all, much less with beloved returning pro Cheryl Burke. That said, she will help keep him around. Derek Hough almost always makes the finals, and he will probably get there again, or get close, with Marilu Henner. Both Chmerkovskiy brothers are dancing this season, and it's possible their combined fan base may end up splitting votes. Newer pros may have a tougher time rallying fan votes. And we have to see who can actually dance, who can charm the audience, and who looks so in danger of being eliminated that it rushes fans to the phones/websites to save them.

The Fall 2016 season of "Dancing With the Stars" airs Mondays at 8 p.m. on ABC.

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