"So, you're telling me there's a chance?" Lloyd Christmas's famous quote rings true in just about every situation, even for Oscar-nominated long shots. We broke down the winning odds for nominees in five major 2017 Academy Awards categories. Your Oscar pool just got a little shallower.



Best Supporting Actor

-The Frontrunner: Mahershala Ali ('Moonlight') 1:5

-The Longshot: Dev Patel ('Lion') 16:1

-The Dark Horse: Michael Shannon ('Nocturnal Animals') 11:2



Best Actor

-The Frontrunner: Casey Affleck ('Manchester by the Sea') 1:4

-The Longshot: Viggo Mortensen ('Captain Fantastic') 66:1

-The Dark Horse: Denzel Washington ('Fences') 4:1



Best Supporting Actress

-The Frontrunner: Viola Davis ('Fences') 1:18

-The Longshot: Octavia Spencer ('Hidden Figures') 100:1

-The Dark Horse: Naomie Harris ('Moonlight') 10:1



Best Actress

-The Frontrunner: Emma Stone ('La La Land') 5:6

-The Longshot: Meryl Streep ('Florence Foster Jenkins') 75:1

-The Dark Horse: Isabelle Huppert ('Elle') 5:1



Best Picture

-The Frontrunner: 'La La Land' 1:6

-The Longshot: 'Lion' 100:1

-The Dark Horse: 'Moonlight' 5:1