Don't Look Up - Debating Certainty in Crisis Management
President Orlean:
Mmm-hmm. So how certain is this?
Dr. Randall Mindy:
There's 100% certainty of impact.
President Orlean:
Please, don't say 100%.
Old Aide #2:
Can we just call it a potentiality significant event?
President Orlean:
Yeah.
Kate Dibiasky:
But it isn't potentially going to happen. It is going to happen.
Dr. Randall Mindy:
Exactly, 99.78% to be exact.
Jason Orlean:
Oh, great. Okay, so it's not 100%.
Dr. Teddy Oglethorpe:
Well, scientists never like to say 100%.
President Orlean:
Call it 70% and let's just move on.
Kate Dibiasky:
But it's not even close to 70%.
President Orlean:
You cannot go around saying to people that there's 100% chance that they're going to die. You know? It's just nuts.
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